How to Get Ahead of Cable and Telephone Companies

How to Get Ahead of Cable and Telephone Companies

10 Trends for 2010 -Comments

1. Last Season.. : Cloud Commuting needs only the benefit of Circumstance, not happenstance. Cloud Commuting's biggest obstacles are Security and Management Insecurity. For companies who depend on Social Interaction among creative's, it may be slightly more difficult, but do-able. Cisco's advances in "presence" along with IBM's, argue that one good approach is for an expansion office to incorporate a true Home Office execution, with Conferencing, multi-screen setups including "Whiteboard" and Virtual Recording (a la meeting SOX requirements) wherein the "specs and equipment for a worker's "virtual office" are generated by the company, and maintained by them. We're not talking a lot of money, either; certainly MUCH LESS that the equivalent cost of an worker's office incorporated into an office building framework, so much less as to make it a "no brainer."

In addition there are the societal benefits of caving, on average 300 Commuting hours, 475 +/- gallons of gas and tons of pollution, roadway maintenance.

Worker satisfaction? Up. Worker productivity? Up.

Management anxiety? Up, but declining over time as results become apparent.

Expect the "coded network," an internal protocol that allows for completely secure use of Cloud Commuting

2. BYOC.. To the extent that this becomes part of the "tiered security" that's coming, this may be helpful. To the extent that Cloud Commuting takes hold, it becomes a non-issue.

3. App Store(s): Unlikely, at least in the Cloud Commuting environment.  It also flies in the face of using software to increase productivity. In the future, AI-assisted Personal and Office systems will utilize software assembled "on the fly"  to accomplish tasks of enormous complexity. "How many ABC customers have purchased Product A in the last 6 months. Calculate rate of usage and projected purchases for next six months?" Analyze Energy interruptions in Baltimore, Maryland for last six months and Year-by-Year for last ten years."

Personal use, personal Clouds (which are coming) a strong possibility.

THE App is this arena is the Personal Avatar, and AI dedicated to You, and resident in Your Cloud.

However, to the extent that Mobile becomes the Convergence vehicle for Data and Communications in the near future, and assuming the FCC creates the needed Bandwidth framework. it  remains to apply the AI to Converged device capabilities to get to the same place.

4. Mobilized (and Monetized) locals:  Here we separate Corporate utility from Personal. The continuing integration of computer program-driven technology into everything from house energy metering, to house appliance and security management, the "Smart House" of past failure, will finally come to fruition. Corporately, the evolution of Cloud Commuting obviates some of the CRM problems that continue to grow with the complexity of corporate existence with a society.  To whatever extent a business's daily existence is impacted by automation, the objective is to make it easier for Customers, including B2B and B2C to satisfy their needs and fulfill their missions more efficiently. Most importantly, the Newspaper industry, on the verge of becoming the "buggy whips" of the Millennium, are rapidly adopting a "head-in-the-sand" attitude instead of doing the one thing that could guarantee their future. (I could tell you more about this, but I'd have to charge).

5. Online Credit and Banking. This is an accelerating trend. Only the lack of Tiered, foolproof security, prevents further evolution, even a revolution in the banking process for Business and Consumer interests. These will be solved, there will be 99% LESS physical Bank Branch locations in a generation, with all banking performed electronically. Not only will physical banking disappear (see Cloud Commuting) , the new Bank Business Model will be a Geico-type model. Complete dedication to operating efficiency, automated operations, constant devotion to analyzing and reducing areas of expense for the benefit of consumer loyalty and profitability as a desired result.

6. Social Nets:  One of the Social Nets (interesting the use of "Nets", maybe as in Internet?) will offer a new framework for individual involvement, one which takes the important step of changing the Convenient to the Necessary, the Voluntary to the "can't live without it."

(I's tell you what it is but I'd have to charge for it-sorry).

7. This and Social go together, as far as I can see. You already know a lot, maybe more than you want to, about your Facebook Friends and more recently, Groups. The Business side of this framework, the Lead Generation and Conversion to Sale process, will work for some applications, services and Groups, not so much for individuals overall.

8. Energy Show (aka Cloud Energy). But, more than just the Information Management of Energy that this implies, will be the absolute rapid evolution of self-sustained Home Energy production and Management. We are a short way from the technology that will make any household grid-independent, efficiently and cost-effectively, even though it  will take a generation to either rebuild, retrofit or build-as-new a household-based, discrete framework for energy and communication.

  Business will continue to depend on traditional grids, even though security considerations will encourage long-term moves to grid-independence or back up energy management. Cloud commuting changes the equation as well, since  the need for offices and all the related infrastructure and energy dependence is reconstituted in the Home Office framework. The up-to-now somewhat lackadaisical attitude of Energy Suppliers and supply security considerations will be forcibly subjected to "attitude readjustment" as Cloud Commuting, Cloud Health and Cloud Education needs make imperative reliable, 100% uptime energy supplies.

9. See 8.

10. Multi-player (Million Player) Game "Clouds." Not going to happen. Takes away the individual competitive nature of the Online Gaming universe.  Changing the nature of Gaming to include managing Army and military components as large-scale forces and redesigning the game universe to accomplish that-see Civilization II, Alpha Centauri, Sim City and all the rest to speculate about that evolution. Second Life-type Clouds, individually tailored "Own your own City, or Planet, or Universe!! Click here for Payment Plans." (Now, I'd like the complexity and Strategy of that framework!)

Not included in your list,but things I'd like to see added as 2010 Starters: 

**Cloud Education; a completely home-based system of Instruction and Learning, AI assisted, CQ-motivated (Curiosity Quotient) (See "They Can All Be Geniuses" http://www.helium.com/items/1557879-education-computer-assisted-learning-technology-based-learning-cloud-education).

**Cloud Health: Home-based diagnostic and AI-assisted software that looks at "you" as often as needed, daily if necessary, monitors, through scanner-based diagnostics and a few-very limited needed-accessories for specialized functions that allow medical Professional health-as-a-Distance, some of which is being done now with Remote Diagnostics, and even distance-directed surgical procedures.

Barry Dennis

Barry Dennis
Woodstock, Maryland
1-443-319-4444

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Jury Trials; More Knowledge, Not Less, is Best Approach

Jury Trials; More Knowledge, Not Less, is Best Approach