In all liklihood Syria won't be "broken" by sanctions. They have overt and active support from Iran in a big way; weapons, supplies, oil, nuclear expertise (surprise!
). As long as Assad wants his "job" (dictator) Iran will make sure he has it, up to and including sending Republican Guard troops if requested.
There are already Iranian "sub rosa" elements in Syrai assisting the intelligen
ce services.
On the other hand, Assad, a dentist, could eventually decide that he's had enough (but, we have noticed how much those in power HATE to give it up).
Unfotrunat
ely, that opens doors for Hezbollah and other "influence
rs" like al Qaeda and the Muslim Brotherhoo
d (long history in Syria, claims to represent the 85% Sunni "minority"
) to gain traction (remeber Iraq? 85% Shiite, 15% Sunni, run by Sunni's like Sadam Hussein). You can be sure that no new Syrian regime will be free of Iranian (mostly Shiites like the Assad Alawites) influence; if anything, it might increase, unless the Muslim Brotherhoo
d spearheads the new government
.
The U.S. has little influence in the Arab Spring movements in multiple countries, for good or bad. But we better get a plan...soo
n. Otherwise our influence in the area and our "friends" like Saudi Arabia, look more and more threatened
.
Waiting for the "chips to fall where they may" doesn't sound like a plan. Wishing and hoping is not a plan.
Buying off some of the revolution
ary elements? That's a Plan!. And why not, we do it everywhere else!
Read the Article at HuffingtonPost
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